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Boston has won 8 of their last 10 home games ATS and Miami is 3–9 ATS in road games against top-5 defensive teams. The Celtics are rested (2 days off) while Miami is on the second night of a back-to-back. Sharp money has moved this line from -6 to -7.5, signaling professional bettor confidence on Boston. Take the Celtics to cover.